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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Liga A Argentina · 20
AtenasHOME · -
74 : 862022.12.16 · 종료
ArgentinoAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME51.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY48.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 99/100
AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +51.2%
VALUE EDGE+51.2%
FAIR ODDS1.95
GRADEA
AtenasAnalysis MetricsArgentino
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
-7.33 Point MarginHigher is better +0.75
161.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 157.42
42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 25.0%
2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.9 / 15
Prediction separation1.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
51.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
48.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Atenas
L · 68-73L · 90-69L · 87-66L · 96-74L · 70-84
Argentino
L · 72-73W · 66-55L · 69-90L · 77-62L · 87-80

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.05.13Argentino88 : 77Atenas
2026.05.10Argentino61 : 53Atenas
2026.05.07Atenas78 : 84Argentino
2026.05.05Atenas96 : 93Argentino
2026.01.20Atenas109 : 71Argentino
2025.10.09Argentino66 : 84Atenas
2023.02.11Argentino104 : 81Atenas
2022.12.16Atenas74 : 86Argentino