Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Liga A Argentina · 19

Union De Santa FeHOME · -

81 : 902022.12.14 · 종료

PenarolAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME51.4%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY48.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +51.4%

VALUE EDGE+51.4%

FAIR ODDS1.94

GRADEA

Union De Santa FeAnalysis MetricsPenarol

16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

-2.00 Point MarginHigher is better +2.25

167.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 165.75

16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 37.5%

5.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement8.4 / 15

Prediction separation1.2 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

51.4%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

48.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Union De Santa Fe

L · 80-78L · 80-69L · 66-55W · 76-66L · 90-75

Penarol

W · 64-56W · 72-73W · 73-70L · 80-88W · 69-64

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.04.05	Penarol	85 : 83	Union De Santa Fe
2025.11.20	Union De Santa Fe	63 : 82	Penarol
2024.02.13	Union De Santa Fe	74 : 83	Penarol
2024.01.24	Penarol	103 : 75	Union De Santa Fe
2023.04.12	Penarol	95 : 86	Union De Santa Fe
2022.12.14	Union De Santa Fe	81 : 90	Penarol