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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Liga A Argentina · 38
Independiente de OlivaHOME · -
90 : 692022.12.12 · 종료
AtenasAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME68.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY31.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK HOME 67.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +68.1%
VALUE EDGE+68.1%
FAIR ODDS1.47
GRADEA
Independiente de OlivaAnalysis MetricsAtenas
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-1.08 Point MarginHigher is better -7.33
166.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 161.50
71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%
6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
68.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
31.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Independiente de Oliva
L · 79-80W · 91-81L · 65-68W · 83-80L · 89-72
Atenas
L · 87-66L · 96-74L · 70-84L · 88-96L · 68-85

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.12.04Atenas48 : 78Independiente de Oliva
2022.12.14Atenas68 : 73Independiente de Oliva
2022.12.12Independiente de Oliva90 : 69Atenas