Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Liga A Argentina · 28

ArgentinoHOME · -

72 : 732022.12.11 · 종료

PenarolAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME45.8%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY54.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100

AI PICK AWAY 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +54.2%

VALUE EDGE+54.2%

FAIR ODDS1.84

GRADEA

ArgentinoAnalysis MetricsPenarol

58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

+0.75 Point MarginHigher is better +2.25

157.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 165.75

75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 37.5%

6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.6 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement10.0 / 15

Prediction separation3.6 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

45.8%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

54.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Argentino

W · 66-55L · 69-90L · 77-62L · 87-80L · 82-47

Penarol

W · 73-70L · 80-88W · 69-64W · 86-81L · 83-80

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.02.16	Penarol	69 : 74	Argentino
2026.01.13	Argentino	84 : 83	Penarol
2024.05.11	Penarol	84 : 77	Argentino
2023.11.12	Argentino	81 : 66	Penarol
2023.01.13	Penarol	92 : 82	Argentino
2022.12.11	Argentino	72 : 73	Penarol
2021.09.28	Argentino	70 : 90	Penarol