Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Liga A
Argentina · 23
FerroHOME · -
80 : 782022.12.09 · 종료
Union De Santa FeAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME72.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY27.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+72.4%
VALUE EDGE+72.4%
FAIR ODDS1.38
GRADEA
FerroAnalysis MetricsUnion De Santa Fe
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-4.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.00
160.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
167.00
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
7.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ferro
W · 80-48W · 81-68L · 69-64L · 65-92L · 86-71
Union De Santa Fe
L · 80-69L · 66-55W · 76-66L · 90-75L · 85-70
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.04.16 | Union De Santa Fe | 74 : 81 | Ferro |
| 2025.12.04 | Ferro | 98 : 86 | Union De Santa Fe |
| 2024.03.11 | Union De Santa Fe | 96 : 82 | Ferro |
| 2024.01.26 | Ferro | 87 : 72 | Union De Santa Fe |
| 2023.01.28 | Union De Santa Fe | 85 : 96 | Ferro |
| 2022.12.09 | Ferro | 80 : 78 | Union De Santa Fe |
| 2021.10.01 | Ferro | 83 : 73 | Union De Santa Fe |