Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Liga A
Argentina · 1
PenarolHOME · -
73 : 702022.12.08 · 종료
PlatenseAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME54.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY45.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+54.6%
VALUE EDGE+54.6%
FAIR ODDS1.83
GRADEA
PenarolAnalysis MetricsPlatense
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+2.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.58
165.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
165.08
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
4.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.3 / 15
Prediction separation4.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Penarol
L · 80-88W · 69-64W · 86-81L · 83-80L · 83-68
Platense
W · 76-65W · 88-82L · 81-89L · 67-70W · 95-103
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.03.08 | Penarol | 79 : 72 | Platense |
| 2025.11.18 | Platense | 88 : 89 | Penarol |
| 2024.04.20 | Penarol | 99 : 56 | Platense |
| 2024.01.19 | Platense | 87 : 86 | Penarol |
| 2023.01.22 | Platense | 83 : 89 | Penarol |
| 2022.12.08 | Penarol | 73 : 70 | Platense |
| 2021.10.14 | Penarol | 70 : 75 | Platense |