Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Liga A Argentina · 34

PenarolHOME · -

80 : 882022.12.04 · 종료

RiachueloAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME61.6%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY38.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 57.7% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +61.6%

VALUE EDGE+61.6%

FAIR ODDS1.62

GRADEA

PenarolAnalysis MetricsRiachuelo

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

+2.25 Point MarginHigher is better -2.42

165.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 163.92

75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.8 / 15

Prediction separation9.9 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

61.6%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

38.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Penarol

W · 69-64W · 86-81L · 83-80L · 83-68W · 56-82

Riachuelo

L · 85-88W · 85-79L · 95-103L · 84-64L · 77-99

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.04.06	Riachuelo	93 : 78	Penarol
2023.12.08	Penarol	87 : 74	Riachuelo
2023.02.05	Riachuelo	92 : 87	Penarol
2022.12.04	Penarol	80 : 88	Riachuelo