Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Liga A Argentina · 21

FerroHOME · -

80 : 482022.12.01 · 종료

San LorenzoAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME60.7%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY39.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 57.9% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +60.7%

VALUE EDGE+60.7%

FAIR ODDS1.65

GRADES

FerroAnalysis MetricsSan Lorenzo

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

-4.58 Point MarginHigher is better -4.92

160.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 153.08

75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

2.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.4 / 15

Prediction separation9.2 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

60.7%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

39.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Ferro

W · 81-68L · 69-64L · 65-92L · 86-71L · 85-79

San Lorenzo

L · 88-82L · 94-91W · 94-91L · 69-75L · 88-71

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.02.24	Ferro	90 : 77	San Lorenzo
2026.01.16	San Lorenzo	96 : 69	Ferro
2024.05.24	Ferro	80 : 81	San Lorenzo
2023.11.25	San Lorenzo	83 : 53	Ferro
2022.12.01	Ferro	80 : 48	San Lorenzo
2021.10.17	San Lorenzo	72 : 71	Ferro