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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Liga A Argentina · 25
FerroHOME · -
81 : 682022.11.29 · 종료
Comunicaciones MercedesAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME66.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY33.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK HOME 67.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +66.3%
VALUE EDGE+66.3%
FAIR ODDS1.51
GRADEA
FerroAnalysis MetricsComunicaciones Mercedes
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 0.0%
-4.58 Point MarginHigher is better -14.08
160.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 155.58
75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.3 / 15
Prediction separation13.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
66.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
33.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ferro
L · 69-64L · 65-92L · 86-71L · 85-79W · 68-85
Comunicaciones Mercedes
W · 87-80L · 104-83L · 86-60L · 95-91L · 66-78

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.04.06Ferro76 : 71Comunicaciones Mercedes
2023.04.13Comunicaciones Mercedes81 : 97Ferro
2022.11.29Ferro81 : 68Comunicaciones Mercedes