Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Liga A
Argentina · 11
PenarolHOME · -
86 : 812022.11.24 · 종료
Boca JuniorsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME51.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY48.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+51.7%
VALUE EDGE+51.7%
FAIR ODDS1.93
GRADEA
PenarolAnalysis MetricsBoca Juniors
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+2.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+5.33
165.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
165.83
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation1.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Penarol
L · 83-80L · 83-68W · 56-82W · 79-70L · 84-73
Boca Juniors
L · 68-76W · 69-75L · 71-78L · 99-96W · 68-96
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.03.18 | Boca Juniors | 86 : 70 | Penarol |
| 2025.11.07 | Penarol | 89 : 78 | Boca Juniors |
| 2024.04.30 | Boca Juniors | 87 : 83 | Penarol |
| 2023.10.16 | Penarol | 72 : 92 | Boca Juniors |
| 2023.04.26 | Boca Juniors | 98 : 84 | Penarol |
| 2023.04.24 | Boca Juniors | 94 : 78 | Penarol |
| 2023.04.17 | Boca Juniors | 92 : 82 | Penarol |
| 2022.11.24 | Penarol | 86 : 81 | Boca Juniors |
| 2021.09.26 | Penarol | 77 : 86 | Boca Juniors |
| 2019.10.09 | Penarol | 85 : 65 | Boca Juniors |