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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Liga A Argentina · 5
Boca JuniorsHOME · -
68 : 762022.11.21 · 종료
Obera TCAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME66.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY33.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 67.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +66.2%
VALUE EDGE+66.2%
FAIR ODDS1.51
GRADES
Boca JuniorsAnalysis MetricsObera TC
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
+5.33 Point MarginHigher is better -4.42
165.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 159.08
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.5 / 15
Prediction separation13.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
66.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
33.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Boca Juniors
W · 69-75L · 71-78L · 99-96W · 68-96W · 84-95
Obera TC
L · 80-73L · 94-91W · 66-78W · 72-82L · 58-65

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.08Boca Juniors96 : 73Obera TC
2026.05.15Boca Juniors86 : 78Obera TC
2026.05.12Obera TC80 : 102Boca Juniors
2026.05.09Obera TC66 : 70Boca Juniors
2026.03.26Obera TC78 : 62Boca Juniors
2025.12.17Boca Juniors70 : 80Obera TC
2024.03.02Boca Juniors98 : 73Obera TC
2023.11.29Obera TC66 : 85Boca Juniors
2023.05.09Obera TC59 : 68Boca Juniors
2023.05.06Obera TC62 : 80Boca Juniors