Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Liga A Argentina · 38

RiachueloHOME · -

85 : 792022.11.07 · 종료

FerroAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME58.7%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY41.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 54.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +58.7%

VALUE EDGE+58.7%

FAIR ODDS1.70

GRADEA

RiachueloAnalysis MetricsFerro

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

-2.42 Point MarginHigher is better -1.83

163.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 161.33

57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 14.3%

7.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.4 / 15

Prediction separation7.5 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

58.7%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

41.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Riachuelo

L · 95-103L · 84-64L · 77-99L · 99-106W · 72-78

Ferro

W · 68-85L · 83-65W · 99-96W · 79-60W · 66-58

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.04.19	Riachuelo	73 : 86	Ferro
2024.01.20	Ferro	70 : 76	Riachuelo
2023.02.20	Ferro	79 : 83	Riachuelo
2022.11.07	Riachuelo	85 : 79	Ferro