Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Liga A
Argentina · 15
Comunicaciones MercedesHOME · -
66 : 782022.11.07 · 종료
Obera TCAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME41.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY58.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
AWAY 54.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+58.9%
VALUE EDGE+58.9%
FAIR ODDS1.70
GRADEA
Comunicaciones MercedesAnalysis MetricsObera TC
0.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-14.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.42
155.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
159.08
0.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
8.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.4 / 15
Prediction separation7.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Comunicaciones Mercedes
L · 69-84L · 71-80L · 71-88L · 71-74L · 76-71
Obera TC
W · 72-82L · 58-65W · 74-68W · 71-66L · 80-85
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.05.06 | Obera TC | 80 : 77 | Comunicaciones Mercedes |
| 2023.12.12 | Comunicaciones Mercedes | 93 : 94 | Obera TC |
| 2023.02.20 | Obera TC | 95 : 63 | Comunicaciones Mercedes |
| 2022.11.07 | Comunicaciones Mercedes | 66 : 78 | Obera TC |
| 2021.10.13 | Obera TC | 63 : 75 | Comunicaciones Mercedes |