Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Liga A
Argentina · 4
AtenasHOME · -
56 : 822022.10.29 · 종료
PenarolAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME47.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY52.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+52.3%
VALUE EDGE+52.3%
FAIR ODDS1.91
GRADEA
AtenasAnalysis MetricsPenarol
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-7.33
Point MarginHigher is better
+0.33
161.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
165.00
42.9%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
37.5%
8.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.5 / 15
Prediction separation2.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Atenas
L · 73-75L · 89-67L · 82-72W · 83-88L · 84-95
Penarol
W · 79-70L · 84-73W · 64-74L · 77-72L · 78-93
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.04.01 | Atenas | 95 : 85 | Penarol |
| 2025.12.13 | Penarol | 87 : 67 | Atenas |
| 2023.02.09 | Penarol | 103 : 84 | Atenas |
| 2022.10.29 | Atenas | 56 : 82 | Penarol |