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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Liga A Argentina · 13
FerroHOME · -
66 : 582022.10.19 · 종료
ArgentinoAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME78.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY21.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 78.1% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +78.2%
VALUE EDGE+78.2%
FAIR ODDS1.28
GRADEA
FerroAnalysis MetricsArgentino
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
-1.83 Point MarginHigher is better +0.75
161.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 157.42
80.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 25.0%
6.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
78.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
21.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ferro
L · 118-84L · 91-64L · 65-57L · 72-71L · 72-73
Argentino
W · 75-81L · 94-59W · 76-71L · 72-78L · 77-68

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.01Argentino79 : 68Ferro
2026.04.06Ferro100 : 74Argentino
2025.10.18Argentino80 : 97Ferro
2024.03.13Argentino79 : 71Ferro
2024.01.12Ferro88 : 71Argentino
2023.03.05Argentino72 : 62Ferro
2022.10.19Ferro66 : 58Argentino
2021.09.25Ferro77 : 66Argentino
2019.10.24Ferro90 : 70Argentino
2019.10.19Argentino91 : 89Ferro