Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Liga A
Argentina · 13
San MartinHOME · -
84 : 732022.10.18 · 종료
PenarolAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME61.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY38.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+61.3%
VALUE EDGE+61.3%
FAIR ODDS1.63
GRADEA
San MartinAnalysis MetricsPenarol
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-9.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+0.33
168.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
165.00
0.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
37.5%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.3 / 15
Prediction separation9.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
San Martin
W · 86-74L · 80-70W · 65-57W · 92-89W · 72-74
Penarol
W · 64-74L · 77-72L · 78-93L · 88-73L · 70-75
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.28 | Penarol | 95 : 76 | San Martin |
| 2026.02.20 | San Martin | 88 : 84 | Penarol |
| 2025.11.13 | Penarol | 75 : 72 | San Martin |
| 2024.06.04 | Penarol | 70 : 56 | San Martin |
| 2024.06.02 | Penarol | 66 : 54 | San Martin |
| 2024.05.30 | San Martin | 70 : 72 | Penarol |
| 2024.05.28 | San Martin | 87 : 70 | Penarol |
| 2024.04.15 | Penarol | 69 : 76 | San Martin |
| 2024.02.03 | San Martin | 73 : 56 | Penarol |
| 2023.03.13 | Penarol | 77 : 61 | San Martin |