Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Liga A
Argentina · 22
RegatasHOME · -
64 : 742022.10.16 · 종료
PenarolAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME58.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY41.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
HOME 54.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+58.2%
VALUE EDGE+58.2%
FAIR ODDS1.72
GRADEA
RegatasAnalysis MetricsPenarol
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+0.92
Point MarginHigher is better
+0.33
155.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
165.00
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
37.5%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.7 / 15
Prediction separation7.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Regatas
L · 69-74W · 80-85W · 64-89L · 69-75L · 80-74
Penarol
L · 77-72L · 78-93L · 88-73L · 70-75W · 83-89
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.02.22 | Regatas | 67 : 86 | Penarol |
| 2025.10.04 | Penarol | 80 : 84 | Regatas |
| 2024.03.25 | Penarol | 88 : 76 | Regatas |
| 2023.10.12 | Regatas | 80 : 87 | Penarol |
| 2023.04.03 | Penarol | 63 : 58 | Regatas |
| 2022.10.16 | Regatas | 64 : 74 | Penarol |