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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Liga A Argentina · 22
OlimpicoHOME · -
118 : 842022.10.13 · 종료
FerroAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME63.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY36.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 57.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +63.2%
VALUE EDGE+63.2%
FAIR ODDS1.58
GRADEB
OlimpicoAnalysis MetricsFerro
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-2.67 Point MarginHigher is better -1.83
169.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 161.33
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 14.3%
4.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.4 / 15
Prediction separation11.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
63.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
36.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Olimpico
W · 78-93L · 84-81L · 78-72W · 77-71L · 80-73
Ferro
L · 91-64L · 65-57L · 72-71L · 72-73W · 70-67

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.03.07Olimpico69 : 72Ferro
2025.12.13Ferro87 : 83Olimpico
2024.03.02Ferro93 : 94Olimpico
2023.12.16Olimpico92 : 74Ferro
2023.03.14Ferro89 : 72Olimpico
2022.10.13Olimpico118 : 84Ferro