Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Liga A
Argentina · 18
PenarolHOME · -
78 : 932022.10.09 · 종료
OlimpicoAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME61.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY38.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+61.2%
VALUE EDGE+61.2%
FAIR ODDS1.63
GRADEA
PenarolAnalysis MetricsOlimpico
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+0.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.67
165.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.67
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
25.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement15.0 / 15
Prediction separation9.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Penarol
L · 88-73L · 70-75W · 83-89W · 115-90W · 68-75
Olimpico
L · 84-81L · 78-72W · 77-71L · 80-73L · 79-85
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.03 | Olimpico | 74 : 87 | Penarol |
| 2026.02.05 | Olimpico | 74 : 87 | Penarol |
| 2025.12.11 | Penarol | 82 : 76 | Olimpico |
| 2024.03.05 | Penarol | 73 : 82 | Olimpico |
| 2023.11.30 | Olimpico | 89 : 66 | Penarol |
| 2023.02.03 | Olimpico | 79 : 80 | Penarol |
| 2022.10.09 | Penarol | 78 : 93 | Olimpico |