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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Superliga Albania · Superliga - Semi-finals
BeselidhjaHOME · -
99 : 852024.05.02 · 종료
TiranaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME84.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY15.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 83.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +84.5%
VALUE EDGE+84.5%
FAIR ODDS1.18
GRADES
BeselidhjaAnalysis MetricsTirana
83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+22.83 Point MarginHigher is better +0.33
177.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 177.33
85.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%
3.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
84.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
15.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Beselidhja
W · 63-89W · 94-84W · 80-58W · 55-117W · 74-148
Tirana
L · 63-89L · 94-84W · 74-97W · 84-83L · 80-58

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.11.02Beselidhja120 : 80Tirana
2026.05.19Beselidhja103 : 84Tirana
2026.05.14Tirana77 : 90Beselidhja
2026.05.10Beselidhja104 : 86Tirana
2026.01.25Tirana81 : 93Beselidhja
2025.10.13Beselidhja118 : 76Tirana
2025.04.06Beselidhja88 : 70Tirana
2025.03.02Tirana73 : 88Beselidhja
2024.12.23Beselidhja91 : 59Tirana
2024.11.11Tirana65 : 93Beselidhja