Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Superliga
Albania · Superliga - Quarter-finals
Apolonia FierHOME · -
74 : 972024.04.21 · 종료
TiranaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME47.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY53.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+53.0%
VALUE EDGE+53.0%
FAIR ODDS1.89
GRADEA
Apolonia FierAnalysis MetricsTirana
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+7.42
Point MarginHigher is better
+0.33
159.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
177.33
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.2 / 15
Prediction separation2.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Apolonia Fier
L · 84-83W · 64-89W · 144-93W · 85-98L · 84-86
Tirana
W · 84-83L · 80-58W · 105-64L · 56-92W · 96-73
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.03.16 | Tirana | 91 : 83 | Apolonia Fier |
| 2025.11.16 | Apolonia Fier | 83 : 87 | Tirana |
| 2025.02.01 | Tirana | 87 : 71 | Apolonia Fier |
| 2024.12.14 | Apolonia Fier | 90 : 75 | Tirana |
| 2024.11.03 | Tirana | 65 : 79 | Apolonia Fier |
| 2024.04.21 | Apolonia Fier | 74 : 97 | Tirana |
| 2024.04.18 | Tirana | 84 : 83 | Apolonia Fier |
| 2024.01.28 | Tirana | 95 : 74 | Apolonia Fier |
| 2023.10.08 | Apolonia Fier | 87 : 81 | Tirana |