Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Superliga
Albania · 22

ElbasaniHOME · -
98 : 1132024.04.13 · 종료
VllazniaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME23.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY76.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
AWAY 77.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+76.5%
VALUE EDGE+76.5%
FAIR ODDS1.31
GRADEA
ElbasaniAnalysis MetricsVllaznia
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
-24.42
Point MarginHigher is better
+9.83
184.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
168.33
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
75.0%
5.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Elbasani
L · 144-93L · 74-148L · 89-71L · 86-108L · 103-58
Vllaznia
W · 85-66W · 111-72W · 84-86L · 71-86W · 72-90
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.10 | Vllaznia | 97 : 80 | Elbasani |
| 2026.02.15 | Vllaznia | 118 : 68 | Elbasani |
| 2025.11.02 | Elbasani | 74 : 101 | Vllaznia |
| 2024.04.13 | Elbasani | 98 : 113 | Vllaznia |
| 2023.12.17 | Vllaznia | 102 : 84 | Elbasani |