Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Superliga Albania · 22

SkenderbeuHOME · -

64 : 892024.04.11 · 종료

Apolonia FierAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME12.5%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY87.5%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK AWAY 89.5% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +87.5%

VALUE EDGE+87.5%

FAIR ODDS1.14

GRADEA

SkenderbeuAnalysis MetricsApolonia Fier

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%

-6.50 Point MarginHigher is better +7.42

175.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 159.08

33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%

5.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.8일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement11.4 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

12.5%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

87.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Skenderbeu

L · 55-117L · 98-79L · 103-49L · 72-115L · 151-42

Apolonia Fier

W · 144-93W · 85-98L · 84-86W · 105-69L · 101-60

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.04.19	Skenderbeu	76 : 90	Apolonia Fier
2026.04.16	Apolonia Fier	84 : 76	Skenderbeu
2025.10.05	Skenderbeu	68 : 81	Apolonia Fier
2024.04.11	Skenderbeu	64 : 89	Apolonia Fier
2023.12.15	Apolonia Fier	111 : 75	Skenderbeu