Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Superliga
Albania · 21
Apolonia FierHOME · -
144 : 932024.04.08 · 종료
ElbasaniAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME83.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY16.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
HOME 83.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+83.7%
VALUE EDGE+83.7%
FAIR ODDS1.19
GRADEA
Apolonia FierAnalysis MetricsElbasani
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
+7.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-24.42
159.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
184.42
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Apolonia Fier
W · 85-98L · 84-86W · 105-69L · 101-60W · 75-70
Elbasani
L · 74-148L · 89-71L · 86-108L · 103-58L · 100-130
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.09 | Apolonia Fier | 116 : 74 | Elbasani |
| 2026.03.23 | Apolonia Fier | 91 : 62 | Elbasani |
| 2025.12.06 | Elbasani | 80 : 111 | Apolonia Fier |
| 2024.04.08 | Apolonia Fier | 144 : 93 | Elbasani |
| 2023.12.09 | Elbasani | 79 : 98 | Apolonia Fier |