Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Superliga
Albania · 20
ElbasaniHOME · -
74 : 1482024.04.03 · 종료
BeselidhjaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME15.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY85.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
AWAY 89.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+85.0%
VALUE EDGE+85.0%
FAIR ODDS1.18
GRADEA
ElbasaniAnalysis MetricsBeselidhja
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
-24.42
Point MarginHigher is better
+22.83
184.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
177.50
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
80.0%
9.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Elbasani
L · 89-71L · 86-108L · 103-58L · 100-130W · 74-96
Beselidhja
L · 79-80W · 81-61W · 71-86W · 101-60W · 109-51
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.02.18 | Beselidhja | 147 : 69 | Elbasani |
| 2026.02.02 | Beselidhja | 125 : 80 | Elbasani |
| 2025.10.18 | Elbasani | 74 : 144 | Beselidhja |
| 2024.04.03 | Elbasani | 74 : 148 | Beselidhja |
| 2023.12.03 | Beselidhja | 122 : 51 | Elbasani |