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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Superliga Albania · 19
Apolonia FierHOME · -
84 : 862024.03.24 · 종료
VllazniaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME51.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY48.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 52.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +51.4%
VALUE EDGE+51.4%
FAIR ODDS1.95
GRADEA
Apolonia FierAnalysis MetricsVllaznia
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 75.0%
+7.42 Point MarginHigher is better +9.83
159.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 168.33
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 75.0%
6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.1 / 15
Prediction separation1.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
51.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
48.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Apolonia Fier
W · 105-69L · 101-60W · 75-70W · 95-70W · 78-83
Vllaznia
L · 71-86W · 72-90L · 92-73W · 83-77W · 66-105

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.03.06Apolonia Fier89 : 62Vllaznia
2026.01.25Vllaznia79 : 75Apolonia Fier
2025.12.19Vllaznia72 : 75Apolonia Fier
2025.10.14Apolonia Fier90 : 82Vllaznia
2025.04.07Vllaznia98 : 75Apolonia Fier
2025.03.03Apolonia Fier76 : 73Vllaznia
2024.11.10Apolonia Fier86 : 83Vllaznia
2024.03.24Apolonia Fier84 : 86Vllaznia
2023.11.26Vllaznia71 : 61Apolonia Fier