Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Superliga
Albania · 18
Apolonia FierHOME · -
105 : 692024.03.18 · 종료
FieriAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME86.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY13.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 89.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+86.1%
VALUE EDGE+86.1%
FAIR ODDS1.16
GRADEA
Apolonia FierAnalysis MetricsFieri
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+7.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-14.92
159.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
163.08
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Apolonia Fier
L · 101-60W · 75-70W · 95-70W · 78-83L · 95-74
Fieri
L · 63-104L · 109-51W · 93-53L · 86-66L · 78-85
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.04.05 | Apolonia Fier | 87 : 60 | Fieri |
| 2025.12.22 | Fieri | 59 : 120 | Apolonia Fier |
| 2024.03.18 | Apolonia Fier | 105 : 69 | Fieri |
| 2023.11.19 | Fieri | 79 : 92 | Apolonia Fier |