Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Superliga
Albania · 17
BeselidhjaHOME · -
101 : 602024.03.15 · 종료
Apolonia FierAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME87.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY12.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 89.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+87.2%
VALUE EDGE+87.2%
FAIR ODDS1.15
GRADEA
BeselidhjaAnalysis MetricsApolonia Fier
83.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+22.83
Point MarginHigher is better
+7.42
177.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
159.08
85.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
6.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Beselidhja
W · 109-51W · 60-101W · 61-86W · 117-90W · 88-96
Apolonia Fier
W · 75-70W · 95-70W · 78-83L · 95-74W · 111-75
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.05.03 | Beselidhja | 95 : 78 | Apolonia Fier |
| 2026.04.30 | Apolonia Fier | 74 : 97 | Beselidhja |
| 2026.04.26 | Beselidhja | 93 : 71 | Apolonia Fier |
| 2026.04.12 | Apolonia Fier | 80 : 68 | Beselidhja |
| 2026.01.12 | Beselidhja | 100 : 88 | Apolonia Fier |
| 2025.03.09 | Beselidhja | 116 : 76 | Apolonia Fier |
| 2025.01.11 | Apolonia Fier | 75 : 92 | Beselidhja |
| 2024.11.16 | Beselidhja | 87 : 83 | Apolonia Fier |
| 2024.10.14 | Apolonia Fier | 80 : 101 | Beselidhja |
| 2024.03.15 | Beselidhja | 101 : 60 | Apolonia Fier |