Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Superliga
Albania · 17

ElbasaniHOME · -
86 : 1082024.03.14 · 종료
Kamza BasketAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME37.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY62.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+62.8%
VALUE EDGE+62.8%
FAIR ODDS1.59
GRADEA
ElbasaniAnalysis MetricsKamza Basket
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-24.42
Point MarginHigher is better
+8.08
184.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
164.25
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
77.8%
4.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.1 / 15
Prediction separation11.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Elbasani
L · 103-58L · 100-130W · 74-96W · 78-85L · 66-77
Kamza Basket
L · 82-84L · 95-70L · 61-86W · 64-81W · 109-72
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.31 | Elbasani | 82 : 84 | Kamza Basket |
| 2026.04.08 | Elbasani | 80 : 112 | Kamza Basket |
| 2026.01.11 | Kamza Basket | 125 : 75 | Elbasani |
| 2024.03.14 | Elbasani | 86 : 108 | Kamza Basket |
| 2023.11.11 | Kamza Basket | 115 : 77 | Elbasani |