Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Superliga Albania · 15

ElbasaniHOME · -

100 : 1302024.03.02 · 종료

TiranaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME37.9%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY62.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100

AI PICK AWAY 57.6% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +62.1%

VALUE EDGE+62.1%

FAIR ODDS1.61

GRADEB

ElbasaniAnalysis MetricsTirana

25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

-24.42 Point MarginHigher is better +0.33

184.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 177.33

60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%

14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.6 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement8.6 / 15

Prediction separation10.3 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

37.9%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

62.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Elbasani

W · 74-96W · 78-85L · 66-77L · 102-84L · 79-98

Tirana

W · 103-77L · 83-77W · 95-74L · 88-96W · 47-81

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.10.19	Elbasani	89 : 86	Tirana
2026.04.05	Tirana	139 : 89	Elbasani
2025.12.19	Elbasani	76 : 124	Tirana
2025.04.17	Elbasani	55 : 103	Tirana
2025.04.13	Tirana	140 : 58	Elbasani
2024.03.02	Elbasani	100 : 130	Tirana
2023.10.30	Tirana	101 : 72	Elbasani