Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Superliga
Albania · 13
Teuta DurresHOME · -
78 : 832024.02.04 · 종료
Apolonia FierAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME66.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY33.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 68.2%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+66.9%
VALUE EDGE+66.9%
FAIR ODDS1.49
GRADEA
Teuta DurresAnalysis MetricsApolonia Fier
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+2.42
Point MarginHigher is better
+7.42
161.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
159.08
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.0 / 15
Prediction separation14.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Teuta Durres
L · 117-90W · 102-80W · 89-82W · 106-76L · 93-92
Apolonia Fier
L · 95-74W · 111-75W · 79-98L · 71-61W · 79-92
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.02.01 | Apolonia Fier | 80 : 66 | Teuta Durres |
| 2025.10.19 | Teuta Durres | 61 : 85 | Apolonia Fier |
| 2025.04.21 | Apolonia Fier | 66 : 69 | Teuta Durres |
| 2025.04.14 | Apolonia Fier | 83 : 71 | Teuta Durres |
| 2025.04.11 | Teuta Durres | 83 : 82 | Apolonia Fier |
| 2025.01.18 | Teuta Durres | 82 : 83 | Apolonia Fier |
| 2024.11.30 | Apolonia Fier | 64 : 78 | Teuta Durres |
| 2024.10.19 | Teuta Durres | 93 : 79 | Apolonia Fier |
| 2024.02.04 | Teuta Durres | 78 : 83 | Apolonia Fier |
| 2023.10.15 | Apolonia Fier | 71 : 94 | Teuta Durres |