Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Superliga Albania · 13

FieriHOME · -

78 : 852024.02.04 · 종료

ElbasaniAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME56.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY43.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +56.2%

VALUE EDGE+56.2%

FAIR ODDS1.78

GRADEA

FieriAnalysis MetricsElbasani

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

-14.92 Point MarginHigher is better -24.42

163.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 184.42

28.6% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.9 / 15

Prediction separation5.3 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

56.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

43.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Fieri

L · 98-67L · 109-72L · 63-83L · 106-76L · 79-92

Elbasani

L · 66-77L · 102-84L · 79-98L · 122-51L · 79-83

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.01.26	Elbasani	88 : 77	Fieri
2025.10.13	Fieri	91 : 82	Elbasani
2024.02.04	Fieri	78 : 85	Elbasani
2023.10.14	Elbasani	98 : 68	Fieri