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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Superliga Albania · 12
ElbasaniHOME · -
66 : 772024.01.27 · 종료
Partizani TiranaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME60.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY39.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK HOME 57.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +60.4%
VALUE EDGE+60.4%
FAIR ODDS1.66
GRADEA
ElbasaniAnalysis MetricsPartizani Tirana
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%
-24.42 Point MarginHigher is better -34.92
184.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 163.75
60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 14.3%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.9 / 15
Prediction separation8.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
60.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
39.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Elbasani
L · 102-84L · 79-98L · 122-51L · 79-83L · 115-77
Partizani Tirana
W · 98-67L · 72-77L · 73-108L · 78-75L · 90-102

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.03.30Elbasani100 : 81Partizani Tirana
2025.12.13Partizani Tirana65 : 83Elbasani
2024.01.27Elbasani66 : 77Partizani Tirana