Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Superliga Albania · 11

VllazniaHOME · -

102 : 842023.12.17 · 종료

ElbasaniAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME84.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY15.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 83.8% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +84.2%

VALUE EDGE+84.2%

FAIR ODDS1.19

GRADES

VllazniaAnalysis MetricsElbasani

75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

+9.83 Point MarginHigher is better -24.42

168.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 184.42

75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.0 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

84.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

15.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Vllaznia

W · 72-77W · 63-83W · 71-61L · 78-67W · 87-72

Elbasani

L · 79-98L · 122-51L · 79-83L · 115-77L · 62-75

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.10.10	Vllaznia	97 : 80	Elbasani
2026.02.15	Vllaznia	118 : 68	Elbasani
2025.11.02	Elbasani	74 : 101	Vllaznia
2024.04.13	Elbasani	98 : 113	Vllaznia
2023.12.17	Vllaznia	102 : 84	Elbasani