Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Superliga Albania · 11

Apolonia FierHOME · -

111 : 752023.12.15 · 종료

SkenderbeuAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME88.0%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY12.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 89.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +88.0%

VALUE EDGE+88.0%

FAIR ODDS1.14

GRADEA

Apolonia FierAnalysis MetricsSkenderbeu

66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

+7.42 Point MarginHigher is better -5.58

159.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 178.75

66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 71.4%

6.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement10.6 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

88.0%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

12.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Apolonia Fier

W · 79-98L · 71-61W · 79-92L · 74-108W · 72-92

Skenderbeu

L · 136-62L · 53-97L · 77-108L · 137-75L · 47-92

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.04.19	Skenderbeu	76 : 90	Apolonia Fier
2026.04.16	Apolonia Fier	84 : 76	Skenderbeu
2025.10.05	Skenderbeu	68 : 81	Apolonia Fier
2024.04.11	Skenderbeu	64 : 89	Apolonia Fier
2023.12.15	Apolonia Fier	111 : 75	Skenderbeu