Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Superliga
Albania · 10
ElbasaniHOME · -
79 : 982023.12.09 · 종료
Apolonia FierAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME71.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY28.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+71.1%
VALUE EDGE+71.1%
FAIR ODDS1.41
GRADEA
ElbasaniAnalysis MetricsApolonia Fier
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-24.42
Point MarginHigher is better
+7.42
184.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
159.08
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
6.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Elbasani
L · 122-51L · 79-83L · 115-77L · 62-75L · 101-72
Apolonia Fier
L · 71-61W · 79-92L · 74-108W · 72-92L · 93-73
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.09 | Apolonia Fier | 116 : 74 | Elbasani |
| 2026.03.23 | Apolonia Fier | 91 : 62 | Elbasani |
| 2025.12.06 | Elbasani | 80 : 111 | Apolonia Fier |
| 2024.04.08 | Apolonia Fier | 144 : 93 | Elbasani |
| 2023.12.09 | Elbasani | 79 : 98 | Apolonia Fier |