Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Superliga
Albania · 8
VllazniaHOME · -
71 : 612023.11.26 · 종료
Apolonia FierAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME61.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY38.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+61.7%
VALUE EDGE+61.7%
FAIR ODDS1.62
GRADEA
VllazniaAnalysis MetricsApolonia Fier
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+9.83
Point MarginHigher is better
+7.42
168.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
159.08
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.9 / 15
Prediction separation10.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Vllaznia
L · 78-67W · 87-72L · 62-102W · 82-65L · 92-66
Apolonia Fier
W · 79-92L · 74-108W · 72-92L · 93-73L · 71-94
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.03.06 | Apolonia Fier | 89 : 62 | Vllaznia |
| 2026.01.25 | Vllaznia | 79 : 75 | Apolonia Fier |
| 2025.12.19 | Vllaznia | 72 : 75 | Apolonia Fier |
| 2025.10.14 | Apolonia Fier | 90 : 82 | Vllaznia |
| 2025.04.07 | Vllaznia | 98 : 75 | Apolonia Fier |
| 2025.03.03 | Apolonia Fier | 76 : 73 | Vllaznia |
| 2024.11.10 | Apolonia Fier | 86 : 83 | Vllaznia |
| 2024.03.24 | Apolonia Fier | 84 : 86 | Vllaznia |
| 2023.11.26 | Vllaznia | 71 : 61 | Apolonia Fier |