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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Superliga Albania · 5
ElbasaniHOME · -
62 : 752023.11.04 · 종료
Teuta DurresAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME78.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY21.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 77.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +78.6%
VALUE EDGE+78.6%
FAIR ODDS1.27
GRADEB
ElbasaniAnalysis MetricsTeuta Durres
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-24.42 Point MarginHigher is better +2.42
184.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 161.42
60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
5.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
78.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
21.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Elbasani
L · 101-72W · 123-44W · 98-68
Teuta Durres
W · 86-74L · 82-65W · 71-94L · 67-90L · 68-82

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.03.09Teuta Durres93 : 74Elbasani
2025.11.11Elbasani85 : 97Teuta Durres
2024.03.10Teuta Durres103 : 58Elbasani
2023.11.04Elbasani62 : 75Teuta Durres