Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Superliga
Albania · 4
TiranaHOME · -
101 : 722023.10.30 · 종료
ElbasaniAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME58.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY41.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+58.8%
VALUE EDGE+58.8%
FAIR ODDS1.70
GRADEA
TiranaAnalysis MetricsElbasani
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
+0.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-24.42
177.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
184.42
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
8.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
9.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.4 / 15
Prediction separation7.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tirana
W · 73-76W · 92-66L · 87-81
Elbasani
W · 123-44W · 98-68
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.19 | Elbasani | 89 : 86 | Tirana |
| 2026.04.05 | Tirana | 139 : 89 | Elbasani |
| 2025.12.19 | Elbasani | 76 : 124 | Tirana |
| 2025.04.17 | Elbasani | 55 : 103 | Tirana |
| 2025.04.13 | Tirana | 140 : 58 | Elbasani |
| 2024.03.02 | Elbasani | 100 : 130 | Tirana |
| 2023.10.30 | Tirana | 101 : 72 | Elbasani |