Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Superliga
Albania · 3
ElbasaniHOME · -
123 : 442023.10.21 · 종료
SkenderbeuAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME81.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY18.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 83.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+81.7%
VALUE EDGE+81.7%
FAIR ODDS1.22
GRADEB
ElbasaniAnalysis MetricsSkenderbeu
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-24.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.58
184.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
178.75
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
71.4%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Elbasani
W · 98-68
Skenderbeu
L · 54-91L · 98-47
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.02.09 | Elbasani | 71 : 106 | Skenderbeu |
| 2025.10.27 | Skenderbeu | 122 : 93 | Elbasani |
| 2024.02.10 | Skenderbeu | 74 : 96 | Elbasani |
| 2023.10.21 | Elbasani | 123 : 44 | Skenderbeu |