Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Superliga
Albania · 1
Apolonia FierHOME · -
87 : 812023.10.08 · 종료
TiranaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME51.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY48.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+51.4%
VALUE EDGE+51.4%
FAIR ODDS1.94
GRADEA
Apolonia FierAnalysis MetricsTirana
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+7.42
Point MarginHigher is better
+0.33
159.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
177.33
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.1 / 15
Prediction separation1.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Apolonia Fier
Collecting Data
Tirana
Collecting Data
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.03.16 | Tirana | 91 : 83 | Apolonia Fier |
| 2025.11.16 | Apolonia Fier | 83 : 87 | Tirana |
| 2025.02.01 | Tirana | 87 : 71 | Apolonia Fier |
| 2024.12.14 | Apolonia Fier | 90 : 75 | Tirana |
| 2024.11.03 | Tirana | 65 : 79 | Apolonia Fier |
| 2024.04.21 | Apolonia Fier | 74 : 97 | Tirana |
| 2024.04.18 | Tirana | 84 : 83 | Apolonia Fier |
| 2024.01.28 | Tirana | 95 : 74 | Apolonia Fier |
| 2023.10.08 | Apolonia Fier | 87 : 81 | Tirana |