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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BAL Africa · BAL - Semi-finals
Stade MalienHOME · -
73 : 782023.05.25 · 종료
Al AhlyAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME58.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY41.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM61 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 73/100
AI PICK HOME 53.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +58.6%
VALUE EDGE+58.6%
FAIR ODDS1.71
GRADEB
Stade MalienAnalysis MetricsAl Ahly
71.4% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
+4.86 Point MarginHigher is better +7.00
146.29 Pace ProxyComparison metric 168.67
75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
4.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

61/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage14.8 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample7.9 / 10
Model agreement14.3 / 15
Prediction separation7.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence3.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
58.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
41.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Stade Malien
W · 78-69W · 90-71W · 84-64L · 74-58W · 74-78
Al Ahly
W · 94-77W · 80-70L · 91-90W · 75-91W · 70-72

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.05.25Stade Malien73 : 78Al Ahly