Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BAL
Africa · BAL - Quarter-finals
DouanesHOME · -
93 : 732023.05.21 · 종료
Ferroviario BeiraAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME71.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY28.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
85/100
AI PICK
HOME 73.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+71.9%
VALUE EDGE+71.9%
FAIR ODDS1.39
GRADEA
DouanesAnalysis MetricsFerroviario Beira
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
+3.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-9.92
137.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
170.58
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
14.3%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Douanes
W · 60-76W · 68-75W · 74-58L · 69-55L · 70-76
Ferroviario Beira
L · 96-75W · 82-76W · 97-109L · 76-101L · 92-74
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.05.21 | Douanes | 93 : 73 | Ferroviario Beira |