Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BAL
Africa · BAL - Quarter-finals
Stade MalienHOME · -
78 : 692023.05.20 · 종료
Cape TownAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME79.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY20.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM65 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
73/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+79.1%
VALUE EDGE+79.1%
FAIR ODDS1.26
GRADEB
Stade MalienAnalysis MetricsCape Town
57.1%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
+2.86
Point MarginHigher is better
-11.00
146.86
Pace ProxyComparison metric
155.17
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
14.3%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
65/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage14.8 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample7.9 / 10
Model agreement14.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence3.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Stade Malien
W · 90-71W · 84-64L · 74-58W · 74-78L · 68-78
Cape Town
W · 80-70L · 82-76L · 75-91L · 87-48W · 68-75
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.05.20 | Stade Malien | 78 : 69 | Cape Town |