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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BAL Africa
City OilersHOME · -
96 : 752023.05.06 · 종료
Ferroviario BeiraAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME38.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY61.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK AWAY 57.8% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +61.4%
VALUE EDGE+61.4%
FAIR ODDS1.63
GRADEA
City OilersAnalysis MetricsFerroviario Beira
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
-11.08 Point MarginHigher is better -9.83
163.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 170.17
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 14.3%
3.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation9.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
38.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
61.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
City Oilers
L · 68-96L · 70-72L · 89-71W · 70-82W · 87-81
Ferroviario Beira
W · 82-76W · 97-109L · 76-101L · 92-74L · 89-94

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.05.06City Oilers96 : 75Ferroviario Beira
2017.12.20Ferroviario Beira70 : 82City Oilers