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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BAL Africa
Ferroviario BeiraHOME · -
82 : 762023.05.04 · 종료
Cape TownAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME52.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY47.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 85/100
AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +52.7%
VALUE EDGE+52.7%
FAIR ODDS1.90
GRADEA
Ferroviario BeiraAnalysis MetricsCape Town
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
-12.08 Point MarginHigher is better -11.25
171.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 154.25
25.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 14.3%
3.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.4 / 15
Prediction separation2.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
52.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
47.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ferroviario Beira
W · 97-109L · 76-101L · 92-74L · 89-94L · 90-74
Cape Town
L · 75-91L · 87-48W · 68-75L · 106-67W · 79-83

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.05.04Ferroviario Beira82 : 76Cape Town