Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BAL
Africa
Cape TownHOME · -
75 : 912023.05.03 · 종료
Al AhlyAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME20.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY79.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 77.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+79.1%
VALUE EDGE+79.1%
FAIR ODDS1.26
GRADEA
Cape TownAnalysis MetricsAl Ahly
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-10.42
Point MarginHigher is better
+6.00
153.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
167.00
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
60.0%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Cape Town
L · 87-48W · 68-75L · 106-67W · 79-83W · 70-73
Al Ahly
W · 70-72W · 92-74L · 88-81L · 82-91W · 76-78
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.05.25 | Al Ahly | 87 : 76 | Cape Town |
| 2023.05.03 | Cape Town | 75 : 91 | Al Ahly |