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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BAL Africa
Al AhlyHOME · -
92 : 742023.04.27 · 종료
Ferroviario BeiraAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME76.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY23.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 77.7% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +76.9%
VALUE EDGE+76.9%
FAIR ODDS1.30
GRADEA
Al AhlyAnalysis MetricsFerroviario Beira
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
+6.00 Point MarginHigher is better -10.08
167.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 170.58
71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 14.3%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
76.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
23.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Al Ahly
L · 88-81L · 82-91W · 76-78W · 86-77L · 86-77
Ferroviario Beira
L · 89-94L · 90-74L · 95-84W · 98-92L · 77-71

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.04.27Al Ahly92 : 74Ferroviario Beira
2019.02.10Al Ahly86 : 77Ferroviario Beira