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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BAL Africa
DouanesHOME · -
76 : 592024.05.06 · 종료
MonastirAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME42.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY57.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.9% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +57.4%
VALUE EDGE+57.4%
FAIR ODDS1.74
GRADEA
DouanesAnalysis MetricsMonastir
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
+3.83 Point MarginHigher is better +1.00
139.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 151.67
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 75.0%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.8 / 15
Prediction separation6.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
42.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
57.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Douanes
L · 68-77L · 80-65W · 86-92W · 93-73W · 60-76
Monastir
L · 60-76W · 79-84L · 90-74W · 85-75W · 68-78

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.05.12Monastir75 : 69Douanes
2024.05.06Douanes76 : 59Monastir
2023.03.22Monastir60 : 76Douanes