Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BAL
Africa

Al AhlyHOME · -
99 : 762024.04.20 · 종료
City OilersAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME68.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY31.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 68.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+68.3%
VALUE EDGE+68.3%
FAIR ODDS1.46
GRADEA
Al AhlyAnalysis MetricsCity Oilers
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+5.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-7.42
166.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
163.42
71.4%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Al Ahly
W · 80-65W · 73-78W · 94-77W · 80-70L · 91-90
City Oilers
L · 80-70W · 96-75L · 68-96L · 70-72L · 89-71
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.04.25 | City Oilers | 82 : 81 | Al Ahly |
| 2024.04.20 | Al Ahly | 99 : 76 | City Oilers |
| 2023.04.30 | City Oilers | 70 : 72 | Al Ahly |